title

Magnitude of historical and expected changes of mammals' natural habitats in Eastern Eurasia based on the EEBIO (GLOBIO) modelling approach

author(s)

Vasyl Prydatko, Grygoriy Kolomytsev, Valeria Makarenko

affiliation

Ukrainian Land and Resource Management Center (Kyiv, Ukraine)

bibliography

Proceedings of the Theriological School. 2010. Vol. 10: 40–46.

DOI

language

Ukrainian, with English summary, titles of tables, captures to figs

abstract

In 2005–2006 we developed first in Ukraine 65 GISs (ArcMap 9x) based on new experience using remote sensing data (1 km…25 m) of 1993–2005. The set of maps was used for wide analysis of historical and expected expansion of mammals in the post-soviet Eastern Eurasia — EEBIO. These outcomes showed that final prediction-maps displayed changes better if GIS- operators transformed so many opinions of sciences that were possible and took into account diversity of RS and GIS data. Numbers of mistakes in historical textual ‘models’ correlated significantly with size of habitat areas of selected mammals: the bigger area ‘provokes’ more mistakes. The article contents examples concerning the historic and expected distribution of bears (Ursus maritimus, U. arctos) and wolf (Canis lupus).

keywords

mammals, GIS, Eurasia, Ursus maritimus, Ursus arctos, Canis lupus, Bern Convention.

references

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